When the wind blows, the power flows

Wind power is amazing.

Each massive turbine built tends to claw back the carbon emissions used to construct it in under a year.

But like many renewables, there are intermittency problems. You only get power when the wind blows.

This can be a pain in the ass, though there are solutions on the way to stop having to switch to fossil fuels to fill in the “gap”.

I just stumbled upon a totally different point of view when it comes to wind power, involving a project taking place in Cornwall, England:

Obviously, if there’s no wind blowing anywhere at all in a region, then what I’m about to say isn’t going to work either.

But in all other situations, it looks like you may actually be able to use wind power to fill in the “gaps” in the grid supply.

As far as I can tell, this means building special wind turbines that are not running “at full power” by default. They sit there, turned off or spinning slower than they could, and when the grid needs to fill in a “gap”, they can be put into action and get spinning fast(er) in a jiffy.

Using wind as a grid “back-up” had not occurred to me before.

As the article explains, this would happen alongside solar power, battery installations, etc.:

“A trial to test the concept of using a wind turbine to help smooth peaks and troughs in electricity supply and demand on the grid began earlier this month.

“Located in Cornwall in the southwest of England, the 2.3-megawatt turbine will generate enough electricity to power around 1,500 homes each year. But it will also test a solution to an issue that is increasingly affecting the U.K.’s clean energy transition: grid constraint.

“Cornwall is one of the sunniest and windiest regions of the U.K., and its high levels of renewable energy capacity have resulted in severe grid constraints. It is one of the reasons why no wind turbines have been installed there since 2016, alongside planning restrictions and the removal of government subsidies to the sector.

“Traditional network reinforcement is an expensive and lengthy process. However, utility Centrica has been leading trials to find more cost-effective solutions to grid constraints that boost the business case for renewable energy generation and storage at the same time.

“Centrica's Cornwall Local Energy Market (LEM) project has installed solar panels, battery storage units and other smart energy devices at 100 homes and 125 businesses across the county. These provide the network with flexible demand, generation and storage when requested.

“The turbine in Cornwall is part of these trials. Using an Enercon E82 E4 machine, the project team aims to be the first in the U.K. to demonstrate the concept of making small adjustments in output to help smooth peaks and troughs in electricity supply and demand on the grid.”

So the idea is to let wind turbines spin but not quite as fast as the actual wind conditions allow. Then if the grid needs a bit of a boost, you set the turbine free and a few seconds later it’s spinning faster and producing more power.

Win!

New plans for night trains basically every week in Europe

Not a week seems to go by at the moment without new trans-Europe night train lines being studied or annonced.

There’s Luna Train between Frankfurt and Barcelona, via Lyon. Germany’s train company DB is continuing to be Europe’s laggard here, and it’s the French who’ve taken the lead on this one:

To get an idea of how much the German news media is lapping up this new train idea, here are a couple of links (translate using Chrome for example):

https://www.fnp.de/frankfurt/frankfurt-hauptbahnhof-nachtzug-urlaub-deutsche-bahn-db-nachtzugstrecken-europa-reise-barcelona-studie-zr-90208131.html

https://www.welt.de/regionales/hessen/article226546889/Traum-vom-Nachtzug-nach-Spanien-Noch-fehlt-Geld-fuer-Zuege.html

https://www.welt.de/regionales/hessen/article226522511/Lohnt-sich-der-Nachtzug-nach-Spanien-Studie-prueft-es.html?cid=onsite.onsitesearch

https://www.mannheim24.de/region/nachtzug-heidelberg-mannheim-barcelona-spanien-reisen-klima-corona-bahnhof-90209734.html

https://www.stuttgarter-nachrichten.de/inhalt.verbindung-wird-geprueft-gibt-es-bald-einen-nachtzug-von-baden-wuerttemberg-nach-spanien.58bfe19a-8835-48a4-83fb-1b8131330801.html

https://www.stuttgarter-zeitung.de/inhalt.verbindung-wird-geprueft-gibt-es-bald-einen-nachtzug-von-baden-wuerttemberg-nach-spanien.fc65150d-b102-4bfe-bc82-1caeb5f24254.html

https://www.rnd.de/reise/neuer-nachtzug-von-deutschland-nach-spanien-lohnt-eine-verbindung-nach-barcelona-UAC242HLGSCG4ITOAOOCGQY24E.html

https://www.swr.de/swraktuell/radio/per-nachtzug-nach-barcelona-eine-alternative-zum-fliegen-100.html

https://www.franziska-brantner.de/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/DiaporamaLunatrainMVGV26janvier2021-V2-002.pdf

https://www.franziska-brantner.de/2021/02/17/nachtzug-frankfurt-barcelona-studie-vorgestellt/

Then there’s the private train operator Train4You who have announced their new summer night train UrlaubsExpress from Basel (in Switzerland) to Binz on the the island of Rugen:

Then there’s the private operator RDC with its Alpen-Sylt Night Express that’s going to run from Westerland (on the island of Sylt) all the way to Salzburg (Austria) or to Lake Constance starting in May!

Another private company Snälltåget is setting up a night train from Stockholm to Berlin via Hamburg from May to September:

Quoting Back on Track (the source of all this wonderful news):

“The train leaves Stockholm at 16:20 and arrives in Berlin at 8:52, on Sundays at 12:24. It also offers a night connection between Malmö (21:55) or Copenhagen (Høje Tåstrup 22:45) and Hamburg (5:31, Sundays 9:02).”

In theory, the Paris to Nice night train returns in May, modulo Covid-19 and the Paris to Tarbes train in December.

One can hope that all of these train operators will gradually see how awesome the new Austrian night trains coming off the production line are and be inspired to invest in similarly awesome new wagons:

Do join Back in Track for email updates about this quiet revolution.

What happened to 2020 deaths in China after less air pollution due to Covid-19 lockdowns?

Just a question I have no answers for yet.

China of course got Covid-19 under control well quick, with less than 5000 fatalities (officially at least—let’s say this is in the ballpark of semi-correct).

There was talk a year ago as the shit hit the fan about a massive (temporary) drop in air pollution in China due to its strict lockdowns. And since air pollution in China is said to be linked to a million or more deaths a year, you’d think that the March-April grind-to-a-halt there should show up in official figures. That is, a negative excess mortality in 2020 compared to other years.

Not obvious online to find China’s death figures for 2020 though. Maybe it’s too soon?

Anyone have a good source? Please message me at adventuresofaclimatecriminal@gmail.com

Have a good day!

County-level premature deaths attributable to long-term PM2.5 exposures in China in 2000 and 2010. The small box shows the islands in the South China Sea. Credit: Yang Liu.

A slap in the face, but not exactly a surprise

From the NY Times:

“HOUSTON — Sabrina Burns, a senior at the University of Texas at Austin, had thought she would be launching a lucrative career in the oil and gas industry when she graduated in a few months.

“But the collapse in the demand for oil and gas during the coronavirus pandemic has disrupted her well-laid plans and is forcing her to consider a new path.

“We got a slap in the face, an entirely unforeseen situation that rocked our entire mind-set,” said Ms. Burns, who is studying petroleum engineering. “I have applied for every oil and gas position I’ve seen, like all my classmates, and nothing really has turned up. I’m discouraged.”

“The industry has attracted thousands of young people in recent years with the promise of secure careers as shale drilling took off and made the United States the world’s largest producer of oil. But many students and recent graduates say they are no longer sure that there is a place for them in the industry. Even after the pandemic ends, some of them fear that growing concerns about climate change will lead to the inevitable decline of oil and gas.”

I mean this in the nicest possible way, but you’d have to have had your head in the (oil)sands not to have seen this coming. Dare I say it, these developments ain’t exactly the surprise of the century.

“Even before the pandemic, Ms. Burns said, she had some doubts about her chosen industry. Other students and even an Uber driver ferrying her and others to a petroleum industry banquet in 2018 raised questions about the future of oil and gas and why renewable energy might be a better bet.”

You don’t say! Jeez. Looks like the gravitational pull of heaps of hard cash at any cost was still a stronger pull.

I’ll save my pity for another day.

[Cover photo by Brandon Thibodeaux: Sabrina Burns, a senior at the University of Texas at Austin, studied petroleum engineering.]

Wind now beats coal in Texas (except during apocalyptic winter storms)

From Oilprice:

“For decades, the Lone Star State has been essentially synonymous with fossil fuels. While shale oil and gas have long reigned supreme in Texas, coal has also long been a prominent part of the state’s energy mix, currently clocking in at about an 18% share. But not for long. The winds of change are blowing through Texas. In 2020, for the first time ever, wind power overtook coal in the state’s overall energy mix, “the latest sign of renewable energy’s rising prominence in America’s fossil fuel heartland” according to reporting by the Financial Times this week. As the shale revolution that put Texas on the global energy map has been cooling down, the state has been fervently building up its wind power capacity. In fact, Texas has been one of the leaders in the wind power movement across the nation, “pulling in tens of billions of dollars in capital investment over the past decade and rapidly expanding electricity generation from the fuel.” 

“While in the very recent past renewable energy and anything that could be even remotely related with a liberal agenda were anathema in the oil fields of West Texas, the refineries along the Gulf Coast, and all halls of government where Texans commune, from Austin to Washington DC, the huge injection of cash into wind power at the same time that the U.S. shale-based economy is collapsing has been a powerfully persuasive turn of events to bring more industry leaders on board for the clean energy transition. Money has had a depoliticizing power in the energy markets in Texas, and as petro-dogma fades, some decidedly conservative folks who are decidedly uninterested in the climate or environmental causes are getting very, very rich off wind and solar. 

“As such, wind power accounted for a stunning quarter of the energy mix last year, not just overtaking coal but breezily blowing past it. This makes wind power the second-biggest source of energy generation in the State of Texas, coming in behind natural gas, according to data from Texan grid operator the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (Ercot).”

Texas always surprises you.

Including when it gets hit by crazy winter storms and lots of its wind turbines freeze!

That is unlikely to be an ongoing, recurrent problem. Because: Texas.

[Photo: Billy H.C. Kwok and Bloomberg]

IKEA decides that its fast-furniture can be "recycled". Hee-hee!

As some of you may know, I have certain opinions about IKEA and its business model.

Basically it’s fast-fashion and all the environmental smashing that comes with that, but with trees!

And also with “shit”. Lots and lots and lots of cheap “shit” that breaks just long enough after you bought it that you don’t hold them personally responsable, and happily trundle back to the store to repeat your purchace.

However, I do know that many people around me—including some that are going to read this I’m sure—have a life philosophy that if something is cheap, it’s ok to forget about all the reasons why it is cheap, as well as all the follow-on effects of it being so cheap. I’m not sure my raving will have any effect on such points-of-view (some people get offended when I insult IKEA because IKEA and its cheap stuff has somehow become a meaningful part of their life. This upsets me greatly). Here’s a recap of IKEA’s reasons (for being cheap) and effects (of being cheap and cheaply made):

Reasons why : Economies of scale; mass production; low wages; out-of-town big box cheap real estate (kills downtowns).

Effects of : Need to buy the product again every few years because it’s made of cardboard and spit; kills real jobs in the artisanal sector such as talented furniture-makers who can no longer compete on price; makes the world more uniform and boring (and tacky!); and concentrates wealth (as does Amazon).

I’m not an economist, but if all of our life strategies end up evolving to, “buy the cheapest thing that does the trick, for now”, a small number of people are going to continue to get rich from our behaviour (those controlling the scale economy—IKEA, Amazon, etc.), while more and more others will end up doing shitty low-paid jobs to keep the “good times” rolling.

The subsequent effect of this type of cheap economy is that eventually there’s going to be no-one with the cash to buy the things that pay your salary at your job. Basically, buying cheap no matter what is like shooting yourself in the foot. It’s just that the bullet sometimes takes a few years to hit bone, and you might not ever make the connection with your own behaviour a few years back.

I hope you enjoyed this economic analysis from someone who knows diddly squat about economics. You’re welcome!

Returning to IKEA:

“If spending more time at home has made you consider a furniture update, do not sling out that Billy bookcase just yet. Instead of taking it to the tip, you may be able to raise some cash through Ikea’s new buyback service. The scheme, which it announced last autumn, allows customers to take their furniture back to the store to be refunded and receive a voucher worth up to half of the item’s original value. It will then be resold to a new home, giving it “a second chance at life”.

“The furniture retailer says the service will reduce waste and increase sustainability, and is part of its efforts to go greener. Last week it told the FT it was also looking at offering a wider range of spare parts to help people repair its products.

“But does it need to do more to improve its green image? It has long come under fire for its environmental impact, consuming vast amounts of resources to mass-produce furniture that is not known for its durability.”

First, you’re not going to raise much cash with a used Billy bookcase. That dodgy particle board object cost sweet fuck all to start with.

Not to mention the time required to take Billy to pieces for transport back to the shop. Or are you supposed to take it back in one piece? Ikea furniture is only designed not fall apart quickly when you don’t actually move it. Picking it up and carrying it around, on the other hand, that’s brave! I have so many questions.

Ok, before I go full kamikaze on IKEA bitching, I will just say that growing trees full of stocked Co2 and then putting that wood into furniture is definitely going to help us survive the next fifty years or so, so there’s that. Good work, IKEA! Though the “IKEA to Landfill” time interval is not typically fifty years. And the fact that a Billy bookcase is, “at least 50% wood fibre”, does not fill me with hope about the “sustainability” of the other 50% or so of stuff holding these sad bookshelves together.

So, how does my personal furniture-selection behaviour match my words, do you ask?

Well, I made my own bookshelves with solid pine. Them and their embedded emissions aren’t going anywhere soon, especially as they’re built into the wall (sorry landlord!). Let’s face it, if I can make bookshelves, literally anyone with a handy-man IQ over 40 can too. Basically that means all humans.

My other bookshelves are gorgeous solid wood cubes from AM/PM that will last a lifetime.

My desk is a big solid wooden beast that me and my flatmate John carried through the Paris metro from someone cleaning out a house. This desk could probably survive a nuclear apocalypse.

My bed is a solid base and a soft futon, neither of which got anywhere near IKEA’s sticky fingers.

As for IKEA furniture, last year I actually did buy a (barely) second-hand IKEA Ekanäset Sofa. Less than a year old. The girl selling it had to take it to pieces, then I carried it 2 km across Paris in pieces over three sweaty trips, and reassembled it. The central cushion has already seen better days, with a bum-feeling sensation now similar to “thin foam over concrete”. I got some cushions to help soften that a bit. I’m not brave enough to stand on it, and even though it’s a three-seater, I haven’t been brave enough to try sitting three people on it. It feels fragile. It does have some solid wood structure to it, at least, and I’m not going to lie, it’s quite nice-looking wood. But I doubt it’s going to survive more than 5-10 years.

Never forget: your choices matter. Make good ones!

More Japanese dreamscapes for a Monday morning

At the risk of being locked up for too many stories about trains in Japan, here’s one more.

“It’s barely 6am, yet already some 30 photographers are taking up positions on the No 1 Tadami River Bridge Viewpoint, high above the Tadami River. The sun hasn’t been up long enough to burn off the morning mist, which garlands the forested mountains surrounding the river.

“Drifting river mists are a part of life along the Tadami as it flows through the Oku Aizu region of Japan’s Fukushima prefecture. According to local lore, shape-shifting mountain gods roam inside the mist.”

I WANT TO GO THERE ALREADY.

Here, have a photo:

Catch a whop of that! Gorgeous.

“Tohoku is an ideal destination for those seeking to get back to nature and escape the crowds one normally associates with Japan. A meagre 2 per cent of the country’s foreign visitors in 2019 ventured this far. If at all, most foreigners know Fukushima – one of the six prefectures that make up Tohoku – only as the site of the earthquake and tsunami that devastated parts of the region in March 2011.”

And then there was Kenkou.

“Ken Hoshi had long been convinced the region had enormous tourist potential. The 70-year-old local has been photographing the Oku Aizu area 300 days a year for 25 years, often capturing the sight of the little Tadami train chugging through misty valleys, enchanted forests and towering mountains against an ever-changing backdrop of deep winter snows, spring cherry blossoms, summer mists and fiery autumn foliage. Hoshi began posting his photos on Facebook and then visited Taiwan to exhibit his photos and promote his homeland. The response was staggering.

“There used to be basically no one, other than the locals, walking around the streets of Oku Aizu,” Hoshi explains, via email. “Recently [before international travel was brought to halt by the coronavirus pandemic], however, we’ve begun to see not only Japanese visitors but even people from abroad.”

“I am forever grateful to the people of Taiwan,” Hoshi says. “Many of them have visited us more than 10 times.”

Let’s forget that they probably flew to Japan to do so, just for today.

There are several things I love about this. One: It looks amazing. Two: the idea of getting out there 300 days a year for 25 years and THEN becoming famous! Talk about dedication!

Here’s another one of Ken’s photos, from winter:

Blimey Charley!

History made: Renewable energy surpassed fossil fuels for European electricity in 2020

From CNN:

“Europeans got more of their electricity from renewable sources than fossil fuels for the first time last year, according to an annual report from Ember and Agora Energiewende.

“The report, which has been tracking EU's power sector since 2015, found that renewables delivered 38% of electricity last year, compared to 37% delivered by fossil fuels.

“The shift comes as other sources, such as wind and solar power, have risen in the European Union. Both sources have nearly doubled since 2015, and as of last year accounted for one-fifth of electricity generation in EU countries, the report found. It's also the reason why coal power declined 20% last year, making up only 13% of electricity generated in Europe.”

Since the pandemic only led to a drop of 4% in European energy demand, this is in some sense not even due to Covid-19, so that’s good.

"Rapid growth in wind and solar has forced coal into decline, but this is just the beginning," said Dave Jones, senior electricity analyst for Ember and lead author on the report, in a statement. "Europe is relying on wind and solar to ensure not only coal is phased out by 2030, but also to phase out gas generation, replace closing nuclear power plants, and to meet rising electricity demand from electric cars, heat pumps and electrolysers.​"

Wind is basically going to save us, I think to myself more and more often. The Co2 emissions from building these bigger and bigger wind turbines are now recovered in less than a year’s operation, and there’s a scale factor: the bigger the turbine, the faster the payback. In my new favourite book, How Bad are Bananas? (coming soon!), it’s estimated that a 3MW turbine pays back its embedded emissions in only 92 days (given sufficient wind, of course). And now GE has come out with its 13MW turbine that will be able to power a town of 12,000 people!

And there’s a really interesting cumulative effect that I’ve not really been brave enough to think about so far. The more you produce renewable energy machines (wind turbines, solar panels, etc.) using the current mix of energy sources (renewables and non-renewables), the greater the percentage of renewables in the mix the next time you build a renewable energy machine, so over time, the whole system greens itself in a virtuous loop. Of course, if the population is increasing too fast, you might not ultimately “win”, but in much of the high energy-sucking world at present, populations are flattish. Even though China is become richer and more energy-requiring per person, they’re already basically at peak population, and, fun fact: their working age population is already dropping!

[Photo: Billy H.C. Kwok and Bloomberg]

The case of the Japanese train station with no entrance or exit

From My Modern Met:

“Sometimes we're in such a hurry to get to a destination that we forget to take in our surroundings. But that's not the case when passengers step onto the platform of the Seiryu Miharashi train station in Japan. In fact, they have no choice but to take in the view. Opened in March 2019 on the Nishikigawa Seiryu Line in the southern part of the country is an unusual platform that has no exit and no entrance. The intention of this design is to encourage travelers to take some time to admire the nature around them before they resume their journey.”

And here it is:

KZ

“Only a few specialty trains make the stop at this unusual station, and when passengers disembark there, they will find no ramps, gates, or pathways to lead them to a destination. Seiryu Miharashi is completely isolated in the mountainous environment, so people must wait for another train to stop when they want to leave.”

Love the crazy Japanese and their crazy ideas.

More train news than you can shake a cat at

CNN was like, Let’s do an article about up-and-coming European trains, make the future seem hopeful, and let’s do it so in-depth that even train lovers need to pause for an occasional swig.

The result is this epic article.

I’d read the whole thing if I were you. Here are some juicy excerpts.

“Since the 1990s, France's world-famous Trains a Grand Vitesse (TGVs) have spread far beyond their home country as new lines have allowed TGVs radiating from Paris to reach Brussels, Cologne, Amsterdam, London, Barcelona, Milan, Frankfurt, Stuttgart, Zurich and Munich.

“Although these superb trains have revolutionized journeys on specific routes, international rail travel in Europe remains a disjointed affair, hampered by a lack of coordination between operators on timetables, ticketing and marketing.

“A combination of inertia, increasing costs, protectionism and the exponential growth in short-haul flights over the past 20 years meant that in 2018, 149 of the 365 cross-border rail links that once existed in Europe were not being exploited.”

Let’s face it, it’s easier to fly from France to Poland than it is to take the train(s). And much cheaper, which just goes to show how Co2 emissions are still not particularly tied to price. This will change.

“In September 2020, German Transport Minister Andreas Scheuer raised eyebrows across the continent by suggesting that the network of international routes that blossomed in the 1960s and 1970s could form the template for new "TEE 2.0" services from 2025.

“Scheuer added that countries will need to identify where "inadequate rail services" exist and that national routes should be "chained together" to build international services.

“Those aspirations tally with a pledge signed by 25 EU transport ministers in June to boost the market competitiveness of rail journeys of up to 500 miles.”

First, despite appearances, the Germans are lagging on this one, especially when it comes to night trains. Second, any flight of less than 500 miles in Europe should be illegal. France is already on the way to enacting this kind of thing by banning flights where there’s a high-speed train that can do the trip in less than 2.5 hours. That’s 600-700km worth of distance right there.

More on flights vs trains:

“According to the report, a flight from Paris to Berlin creates at least six times the carbon dioxide emissions of a similar train journey. Flights of less than 621 miles (1,000 kilometers) between and within European countries are estimated to create 28 million metric tonnes of CO2 every year.

“Importantly, 17 of the 20 busiest air routes in Europe cover distances less than 434 miles (700 kilometers).”

Those 17 air routes need to die.

“The report says: "What is needed is a European spirit in planning and management of rail services, and start-up support for new international services, reviving the spirit of the original TEE network."

Good luck with that. The French and the Germans think they’re special and that this all revolves around them and their cold hard cash and the power that comes with it. Until this changes, progress is gonna be slooooooow.

“Longer term, new infrastructure such as the Brenner Base Tunnel between Innsbruck, Vienna, and Verona, Italy, and the $8.2 biilion Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Germany and Denmark will enable much faster and more frequent international services between major cities.

“In the case of the latter, work has just started on the 12-mile submerged rail/road tunnel under the Baltic Sea that will help to slash two hours and more than 100 miles off the current Hamburg-Copenhagen EuroCity schedule when it opens in 2028.

“Completely rebuilt and electrified 125mph (200kph) approach lines on both sides will transform journeys between Germany and Denmark and open up new possibilities for onward travel by rail into Sweden via the spectacular Oresund Bridge.”

Extra cool. On the map, it’s about 300km between Hamburg and Copenhagen as the crow flies. A fast train on this direct route will be in the 1-2 hour range. Amazeballs.

And the advantages of shaving off two hours means longer cross-Europe trips become more doable. Imagine if they brought in a Paris-Hamburg night train and say it took 9 hours, from 10 pm - 7 am. You could then get Eurostars to connect up with it in Paris from London, leaving London at around 6 pm. And at the other end, the train could continue on to Copenhagen at around 8:30 am. You’d get people from the UK and France to Hamburg and Copenhagen overnight, and vice versa. Great!

“Also due to open in 2028, the $10 billion Brenner Base Tunnel is being driven under the Tyrol Alps. Designed as much for freight as passengers, the 40-mile-long tunnels will cut travel times on the Munich-Verona-Rome route by eliminating the steep climbs over the Brenner Pass and reducing the Innsbruck-Bolzano journey from two hours to just 50 minutes.

“These major projects will allow the introduction of new high-speed daytime trains on more routes, including Rome-Verona-Munich-Berlin, Stockholm-Hamburg-Paris, Stockholm-Berlin-Munich and Paris-Munich-Budapest.”

So good.

And let’s not forget about Central and Eastern Europe! (Yes, I warned you, this article is epic):

“Poland and the Czech Republic in particular are already engaged in detailed planning work for new lines that could dramatically improve journey times both domestically and with their neighbors.

“In March 2020, Germany and the Czech Republic reached an agreement to build a new high-speed line between Dresden and Prague, that should reduce the Berlin-Prague journey from four-and-a-half to two hours and Dresden-Prague from 135 minutes to less than an hour.

“Much of the new line will be in tunnels, avoiding the highly scenic but slow and congested line along the banks of the River Elbe currently used by hundreds of passenger and freight trains each day. Expected to open in 2030, the line is a key part of plans to improve rail travel on the Berlin-Dresden-Prague-Vienna axis.

“The Czech Republic is also planning new high-speed railways from Prague to Brno (part of the Berlin-Prague-Vienna corridor) and Ostrava, the latter part of a proposed international route to Wroclaw in Poland.

“In parallel, Poland's strategy for increasing rail travel includes new 217mph (350kph) lines linking Warsaw with Lodz, Wroclaw and Poznan, the latter on the main east-west international route linking Amsterdam and Berlin with Warsaw, the Baltic States and Moscow.

“The existing Central Main Line between Warsaw, Katowice and Krakow is also being upgraded to increase maximum speeds to 155 mph by 2023 and proposals exist for international extensions southward to Prague and Bratislava.”

I remember when I lived in Poland fifteen years ago and they were bringing in new, relatively fast, mainline trains, thinking: why not just go full on high-speed already and save money in the long run? Now they’re doing it. I think it was just too expensive back then, but now Poland is a wealthier country.

I hope this 2020-2030 decade is as spectacular as promised for the European train revolution!

Fun in the Sun to Come on planet Numb

From the Guardian:

“The planet is facing a “ghastly future of mass extinction, declining health and climate-disruption upheavals” that threaten human survival because of ignorance and inaction, according to an international group of scientists, who warn people still haven’t grasped the urgency of the biodiversity and climate crises.

“The 17 experts, including Prof Paul Ehrlich from Stanford University, author of The Population Bomb, and scientists from Mexico, Australia and the US, say the planet is in a much worse state than most people – even scientists – understood.

“The scale of the threats to the biosphere and all its lifeforms – including humanity – is in fact so great that it is difficult to grasp for even well-informed experts,” they write in a report in Frontiers in Conservation Science which references more than 150 studies detailing the world’s major environmental challenges.”

In other news, I just ate a French-made croissant and I feel better already.

“Dealing with the enormity of the problem requires far-reaching changes to global capitalism, education and equality, the paper says. These include abolishing the idea of perpetual economic growth, properly pricing environmental externalities, stopping the use of fossil fuels, reining in corporate lobbying, and empowering women, the researchers argue.

“The report comes months after the world failed to meet a single UN Aichi biodiversity target, created to stem the destruction of the natural world, the second consecutive time governments have failed to meet their 10-year biodiversity goals. This week a coalition of more than 50 countries pledged to protect almost a third of the planet by 2030.”

Just more made-up feel-good fake goals to keep the simmering masses calm about the shitshow in progress.

Yummmmm, croissant, so flaky!

[Cover photo: Carl de Souza/AFP/Getty]

Would you like an Icelandic banana with your porridge?

Living on a cesspool of geothermal heat that blows from time to time does come with advantages:

“Isolated and challenged by a harsh climate and battered by the financial crisis of 2008, Iceland has successfully moved away from fossil fuels and shifted to 100% electricity production from renewable sources. The island nation has developed high-tech greenhouses to grow organic vegetables and embraced sustainable fish farming, ecotourism, breakthrough processes for carbon capture and disposal, and efforts to restore the forests that were lost in earlier centuries.”

Here are some of the great photos by Simone Tramonte:

A borehole at Hellisheiði geothermal plant, in Hengill. Hot fluid is extracted through 30 wells at a depth of 2,000 to 3,000 metres. Geodesic domes over each borehole help reduce the visual blot on the landscape.

Germàn and Adriana harvest tomatoes in Friðheimar greenhouse, Reykholt. Iceland has dramatically reduced the import of fresh vegetables, cutting down on the environmental and financial costs of transportation and preservation. More than 75% of tomat…

Germàn and Adriana harvest tomatoes in Friðheimar greenhouse, Reykholt. Iceland has dramatically reduced the import of fresh vegetables, cutting down on the environmental and financial costs of transportation and preservation. More than 75% of tomatoes, 90% of cucumbers and large proportions of peppers are produced on the island.

Other sustainable stuff going on in Iceland:

Erla collects eider down in her farm in the Westfjord. Eider down harvesting is based on a sustainable relationship between the farmers and the eiders. Eider are seabirds that spend most of their lives in the Arctic Circle. In late May, they nest cl…

Erla collects eider down in her farm in the Westfjord. Eider down harvesting is based on a sustainable relationship between the farmers and the eiders. Eider are seabirds that spend most of their lives in the Arctic Circle. In late May, they nest close to human settlements to seek shelter and protection, using down to create a nest. During the egg incubation, the farmers guard the flock from predators, and only when birds waddle back to the sea, the farmers collect the down – which is traded at about €2,000/kg. About 70% of the world down production comes from Iceland

Hrefna, a volunteer of the Icelandic forest service (IFS). A century ago, most Icelanders had never even seen a tree. Sixty years ago, few Icelanders started planting trees despite the harsh climate. Today, reforestation and afforestation are being …

Hrefna, a volunteer of the Icelandic forest service (IFS). A century ago, most Icelanders had never even seen a tree. Sixty years ago, few Icelanders started planting trees despite the harsh climate. Today, reforestation and afforestation are being carried out by thousands of people all over the island. Volunteers assist the forest associations by planting seedlings and by fertilising young trees. The country has a goal to create a 5% forest cover in the next 50 years.

Good work Iceland! I’d love to go to Iceland but it’s still tricky by train and boat, and not clear whether you end up beating the carbon emissions of flying or not. It depends who you believe either here or here. Iceland actually has an electric ferry on the way. But it’s for short 45 minute trips at the moment, not for getting between the rest of Europe and Iceland.

[Photography: Simone Tramonte]

Reddit's former CEO now plants forests

Reddit has been in the news for other reasons recently. Here’s what its ex-CEO is up to:

“Trees can play a key role in capturing carbon at scale—by one estimate, nearly a billion hectares of land could feasibly be reforested with a trillion trees, and those trees could potentially store more than 200 gigatons of carbon. But efforts at reforestation are moving too slowly. “Essentially, we need to scale the solution in about 10 years, so that there is time for the forest to mature and become a carbon sink of reasonable size to meet various nations’ commitments to be net zero around 2040 or 2050,” says Yishan Wong, CEO of the Hawaii-based startup, called Terraformation.”

“Wong, who previously served as CEO of Reddit, has a tech-world mindset to solving problems and scalability. Even goals that sound ambitious now—say, planting 10 billion trees by 2030—don’t go far enough, he says. “Ten billion trees is actually 1% of the problem, and 1% in 10 years is not going to get us there,” Wong says. “Most plans are like, we’re going to plant a billion trees by the end of the century. That isn’t even close. By examining the full scale of the problem, we can create this map and say, okay, if we wanted to plant, roughly speaking, forests worth a trillion trees . . . then [we’d] have to pass through several scaling milestones at an exponential rate over the next 10 years.”

First-wave Covid exponential kind of thing. Off the charts.

Here are some of the new tricks they’re using to push this forward:

“In Hawaii, the startup built the world’s largest fully off-grid, solar-powered desalination system. With a half-acre of solar panels, there’s enough power to desalinate around 34,000 gallons of water per day, taken from a well on the site. A drip irrigation system sends the water to the roughly 1,900 native trees and shrubs that have been planted in the area so far. As the forest grows, proving that the system works, the company is working to replicate the same idea around the world. It’s creating seed banks that fit inside shipping containers and can store the millions of native seeds that are necessary for large planting projects. It’s also building open-source software that groups can use to collect data and track progress after trees are planted.”

Using solar power to desalinate water in order to grow a forest is kinda cool. We should no doubt be asking what happens to the brine removed from the water before running around the room high-fiving, but it’s a start.

I like their way of going about this though:

“There’s actually no reason why any company that’s working on any sort of natural carbon capture solution should be doing anything proprietary,” Wong says. “I think people still have that reflex, but the addressable market is literally like 1,000 times bigger than any single organization can possibly address. . . . We actually want a million copycats. We want to give out our technology and our techniques as widely as possible. We’re showing that it works. And then we’ll tell everyone, this is what we do, and you can copy us. That’s really the only way we’re going to actually achieve an order of magnitude increase in the acreage that is reforested per year.”

Trees are good.

[Cover photo: Yishan Wong, from Terraformation]

NZ keeps aiming as low as it can get away with.

From the NZ Herald in one of its less tabloid moments:

“New Zealand must ban the import of petrol and diesel cars by 2032 in order to reach its climate change targets and decarbonise the economy, new advice recommends.

“And Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern says the Government "will not hold back" on taking action and committed to setting more ambitious emissions commitments by the end of the year.”

Norway has fixed this at same ban at 2025. Does NZ really need seven more years? Smacks of weak will.

As I’ve blogged about recently, price parity between petrol/diesel and electric cars is expected to arrive in 3-5 years. If so, in five years, you’d think that just based on price, people aren’t going to be buying petrol/diesel cars. Why cry 2032 to the moon then as if it’s a good thing? It’s a waste of breath.

Remember that it’s not just the ticket price. Electric cars will still cost more to buy in 3-5 years, but the cost savings from filling up with electricity rather than petrol/diesel, not to mention the cheaper upkeep of electric cars (fewer moving parts among other things), eventually win out. One million (or even two million!) mile batteries are also on the way.

Given that New Zealand’s electricity mix is around 80% renewables, it’s also a win for the environment. The electric grid better be ready for this though. Thankfully perhaps, the Tiwai Point aluminium smelter shutting down (this year in theory) will mean around 8% of NZ’s electricity being freed up. Of course, there’s not the infrastructure to get most of this up north to where most of the population lives, so why not incentivise the southerners to buy electric cars before anyone else?

“Speeding up the response to climate change would reduce emissions faster and help New Zealand be at the front of the curve of climate action which presented opportunities, such as owning the rights to new technologies, Ardern said.”

Myth-making at its finest. NZ is currently sucking at this, big time, let’s not pretend otherwise. This pig can only take so much lipstick from the mouths of politicians.

[Cover photo by Waldemar Brandt on Unsplash]

In Rural Montana, a Hope That Biden Will Reopen the Rails

From the New York Times:

“DEER LODGE, Mont. — For nearly a century, passenger trains rumbled at least three times weekly through this broad, grass-rich mountain valley in central Montana, home to more cattle than people, until Amtrak pulled the plug on the North Coast Hiawatha in 1979.

“But with a new president known as “Amtrak Joe” and Democratic control of both houses of Congress, a dozen counties across the sparsely populated state are hoping that a return to passenger train service through the cities of Billings, Bozeman, Helena and Missoula, and whistle stops like Deer Lodge in between, is closer than it has been in four decades.”

Where did it go exactly?

“Making the journey between Chicago and Seattle, the Hiawatha served the largest cities in Montana. Its absence left a gap in a state where cities and services are widely scattered and public transportation is poor to nonexistent, especially for low-income residents.”

Here’s its timetable from 1952:

This route used to go through that big empty space in between the two highest red lines heading west from Chicago, going more through the centre of Montana:

Just Montana is about one and a half times the size of the UK, to give you an idea of the space out there.

There’s a lot of history associated with the railroads in these parts. For instance:

“The railroads were also instrumental in the creation of the national parks and park infrastructure, which their originators saw as destinations for passengers.”

And:

“[A] new train service would open up secluded parts of the vast state. “There’s a big part of Montana that is virtually untouched, that can only be seen from the railroad,” Mr. Jennings said.

No cars in sight. That’s the best.

Of course, there is still reality in general, and also 2020-2021 reality in particular, to deal with:

“The pandemic, though, has caused financial havoc for Amtrak, as it has for other forms of transportation. Ridership has been down 80 percent.”

And:

“Defending the current funding for Amtrak’s routes is a constant battle, so the notion of adding new ones is seen as a long shot.”

We’re not out of the tunnel yet, Muriel.

Let’s wait a bit and see what Amtrak Joe can do about this.

Electric cars are about to hit mass adoption

My friend Thomas doesn’t like my electric car posts.

He thinks we should be concentrating on removing our addiction to cars and remodelling urban spaces to make using them difficult or just really sucky for cars.

In a way he’s right, and I think that especially in big urban centres with decent public transport where it’s scary to drive (I’m thinking of you, Paris), a rent-when-you-need-it electric car system will probably become dominant alongside public transport, and indeed—again in Paris—car trips are on a big downward trend. Having the streets full of cyclists that appear not to really know what the traffic rules are is also helping to discourage driving in Paris. I mean, who wants to kill a cyclist by accident, even if the cyclist is a moron?

But in smaller towns and villages and hamlets and all that, electric cars are probably going to be just how it is, even into the future.

In this context, it’s rather good new that electric car prices are set to drop below petrol and diesel car prices in the next 3-5 years. Obviously, price will continue to drive demand.

“Electric vehicles are close to the “tipping point” of rapid mass adoption thanks to the plummeting cost of batteries, experts say.

“Global sales rose 43% in 2020, but even faster growth is anticipated when continuing falls in battery prices bring the price of electric cars dipping below that of equivalent petrol and diesel models, even without subsidies. The latest analyses forecast that to happen some time between 2023 and 2025.

“The tipping point has already been passed in Norway, where tax breaks mean electric cars are cheaper. The market share of battery-powered cars soared to 54% in 2020 in the Nordic country, compared with less than 5% in most European nations.”

The craziest thing is that global sales rose 43%. In. One. Year.

Massive.

Battery prices are plummeting too, and one million mile batteries are on the way, which is just epic. Running costs of electric cars are already way below those of the alternatives.

Here’s the evolution of battery prices:

Ten times cheaper in only ten years. That is really something to shake your cat at. (I thought this was an expression but Google only offers me advice as to, “Why is my cat trembling”? when I checked, so I’m guessing maybe not).

“Electric cars are quieter and have faster acceleration, and rapid mass adoption will also be increased by the fact that, once motorists have one, they will not want to return to a petrol or diesel vehicle. In a recent poll of 2,000 electric car owners, 91% said they would not want to go back.”

I don’t know anyone that bought a Mac and then went back to a PC.

BP's oil exploration team swept aside in climate revolution

From Reuters via Yahoo:

“Nothing escapes the winds of change now sweeping through BP, not even the exploration team that for more than a century powered its profits by discovering billions of barrels of oil.

“Its geologists, engineers and scientists have been cut to less than 100 from a peak of more than 700 a few years ago, company sources told Reuters, part of a climate change-driven overhaul triggered last year by CEO Bernard Looney.”

It’s about time BP found its inner Looney.

“Hundreds have left the oil exploration team in recent months, either transferred to help develop new low-carbon activities or laid off, current and former employees said.

“The exodus is the starkest sign yet from inside the company of its rapid shift away from oil and gas, which will nevertheless be its main source of cash to finance a switch to renewables for at least the next decade.”

What’s interesting is that these layoffs were not publicly disclosed. Maybe a valiant attempt to keep the share price from crashing further?

Not out of the BP woods yet though:

“The 50-year-old, a veteran oil engineer who previously headed the oil and gas exploration and production division, aims to cut output by 1 million barrels per day, or 40%, over the next decade while growing renewable energy output 20 fold.

“Despite the changes, oil and gas will remain BP's main source of revenue until at least 2030.”

My prediction is that BP’s oil and gas extraction will tail off much quicker than that, and it remains to see whether their renewable energy push goes anywhere except straight down the loo. Given how long they dragged the chain on this transition, I don’t give a flying fuck whether they survive to live another day.

[Cover photo by Zbynek Burival on Unsplash]

The battery news is coming faster than I can post it

Literally only last Thursday I posted:

“Range anxiety, the fear of running out of power before being able to recharge an electric vehicle, may be a thing of the past, according to a team of Penn State engineers who are looking at lithium iron phosphate batteries that have a range of 250 miles with the ability to charge in 10 minutes.”

Four days later:

“Batteries capable of fully charging in five minutes have been produced in a factory for the first time, marking a significant step towards electric cars becoming as fast to charge as filling up petrol or diesel vehicles.”

Ten minutes is for losers. Five is for the cool kids.

“Electric vehicles are a vital part of action to tackle the climate crisis but running out of charge during a journey is a worry for drivers. The new lithium-ion batteries were developed by the Israeli company StoreDot and manufactured by Eve Energy in China on standard production lines.

“StoreDot has already demonstrated its “extreme fast-charging” battery in phones, drones and scooters and the 1,000 batteries it has now produced are to showcase its technology to carmakers and other companies. Daimler, BP, Samsung and TDK have all invested in StoreDot, which has raised $130m to date and was named a Bloomberg New Energy Finance Pioneer in 2020.”

One stumbling block:

“The batteries can be fully charged in five minutes but this would require much higher-powered chargers than used today. Using available charging infrastructure, StoreDot is aiming to deliver 100 miles of charge to a car battery in five minutes in 2025.”

They’ll get there.

“The number one barrier to the adoption of electric vehicles is no longer cost, it is range anxiety,” said Doron Myersdorf, CEO of StoreDot. “You’re either afraid that you’re going to get stuck on the highway or you’re going to need to sit in a charging station for two hours. But if the experience of the driver is exactly like fuelling [a petrol car], this whole anxiety goes away.”

Basically, these battery companies are the Viagra of the car world.

[Cover photo by Waldemar Brandt on Unsplash]